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Training MARS experts on crop yield forecasting under extreme events

September 14, 2016 @ 10:15 - 16:45

This MODEXTREME Training Workshop, “Training MARS experts on crop yield forecasting under extreme events“, was hosted by European Commission Joint Research Centre. It was addressed to Monitoring Agricultural ResourceS (MARS) experts.


Description of the workshop (topics and goals)

The workshop aimed at presenting to the MARS analysts of the JRC the results obtained during the project for what concerns crop yield forecasts. In particular, the forecasting capability of standard (currently used at the JRC) and improved (for extreme weather events) modelling solutions were shown in a comparative fashion and discussed. The forecasting capability of hybrid solutions (based on dynamic simulation models and on agroecological indicators) was also shown for MARS crops at EU level. Moreover, changes in model behavior (analyzed with advanced sensitivity analysis techniques under a variety of scenarios) due to the implementation of MODEXTREME impact models were presented and discussed. In the case of rice, MODEXTREME results were discussed in light of the results achieved within another EU-FP7 project (“ERMES”).

Agenda of the workshop

10:15 – 10:30  Welcome session
Roberto Confalonieri – University of Milan (Italy) and Stefan Niemeyer – Institute for Environment and Sustainability (JRC), Ispra (Italy)

10:30 – 11:00 Comparison of crop yield forecasts from standard and improved modelling solutions
Valentina Pagani – University of Milan (Italy)

11.00 – 11.30 Forecast based on hybrid solutions (dynamic simulation models and agroclimatic indicators)
Valentina Pagani – University of Milan (Italy)

11.30 – 12.00 Comparison of rice forecast within the EU-FP7 projects MODEXTREME and ERMES: issue related with scale and remote sensing integration
Valentina Pagani – University of Milan (Italy)

12.00 – 14.00 Lunch

14.00 – 14.30 Analysis of standard and improved modelling solutions under a wide range of scenarios by using advanced sensitivity analysis techniques
Carlo Gilardelli – University of Milan (Italy)

14.30 – 15.30 General discussion on results
chair: Roberto Confalonieri – University of Milan (Italy)

15.30 – 16.30 Discussion on the implementation of MODEXTREME achievements in MARS operational chain
chair: Stefan Niemeyer – Institute for Environment and Sustainability (JRC), Ispra (Italy)

16.30 – 16.45 Wrap-up section
Roberto Confalonieri – University of Milan (Italy) and Stefan Niemeyer – Institute for Environment and Sustainability (JRC), Ispra (Italy)


September 14, 2016
10:15 - 16:45
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Joint Research Center – MARS Unit
Ispra, Italy + Google Map