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Improving agricultural modelling for the impact of extreme weather events

September 20, 2016 @ 12:30 - 14:30

This MODEXTREME Workshop, “Improving agricultural modelling for the impact of extreme weather events”, was hosted by European Commission (Agriculture and Rural development Headquarter), in the frame of the third Annual MODEXTREME Meeting.

Contact: Edit Konya, (Edit.KONYA@ec.europa.eu)

Description of the workshop (topics and goals)

A contemporary challenge is to ensure that modelling practices as currently undertaken in most real situations can effectively support the issue of food security, with a policy-making orientation. European agricultural policy-makers already make use of statistical and biophysical modelling tools in the implementation of agricultural policies. This is mainly reflected in the practice of the Monitoring Agricultural ResourceS (MARS) – AGRI4CAST action of the Directorate General Joint Research Centre. A pressing need is to better take into account in current modelling solutions the impact on agricultural production of extreme weather events such as drought and heat waves events, which endanger food security. This can be done by improving existing modelling capabilities via generically usable libraries of process models within multi-model platforms (e.g. BioMA, http://bioma.jrc.ec.europa.eu). Based on the advancements of the EU-FP7 project MODEXTREME (MODelling vegetation response to EXTREMe Events, http://modextreme.org), the workshop presented novel solutions to model the impact of extreme events, and discussed the extent for their effective implementation in the policy decision making.

The workshop focused on improved process-based approaches to predict yields from agricultural production systems (arable crops, grasslands and trees), and their implementation into modelling solutions. EU officers from agricultural business were invited to attend the workshop, which provided participants with opportunities to discuss and explore emerging modelling approaches to the impact of extreme weather events in agriculture.

The goals of the workshop were to identify open issues and/or explore directions for future research and policy implementation in Europe and outside Europe. We welcomed active interactions from and among participants as well as controversial and stimulating discussions.

Agenda of the workshop

12.30  Address to participants
Edit Konya – Directorate-General for Agriculture and Rural Development of the European Commission, Brussels (Belgium)

12.40 Presentation of the workshop
Gianni Bellocchi – French National Institute for Agricultural Research, Clermont-Ferrand (France)

12.50 Spatial and temporal patterns of agriculturally relevant extreme events in Europe
Pierluigi Calanca – Agroscope, Zurich (Switzerland)

13.10 Climate indicators to anticipate extreme yield losses
Tamara Ben-Ari, David Makowski – French National Institute for Agricultural Research, Grignon (France)

13.30 BioMA platform tools and applications
Marcello Donatelli – Italian Council for Agricultural Research and Analysis of Agricultural Economics, Bologna (Italy)

13.50 Agricultural production forecasts at EU level
Roberto Confalonieri – University of Milan (Italy)

14.10 Discussion and close-up of the workshop
Stefan Niemeyer – Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Ispra (Italy)
Gianni Bellocchi – French National Institute for Agricultural Research, Clermont-Ferrand (France)

14.30 End of Workshop


September 20, 2016
12:30 - 14:30
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European Commission – Agriculture and Rural development Headquarter
rue de la Loi 130
Brussels, Belgium
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